Life expectancy has gone down in my term of office. I am the first President of the UK Faculty of Public Health who has had to admit that, in 47 years.
Why beat about the bush? Austerity kills. We can now be clear that the – “un-‘natural experiment’”–austerity, has indeed made poor people poorer, made inequalities in health wider, and killed people. Economic depression is a phenomenon, ‘austerity’ is a political policy. Austerity policies have killed large numbers of people in Britain who would otherwise still be with us.
Austerity kills. There has been a flood of reports in the last six months alone, and their links are buried in this blog – please do them the courtesy of clicking on them and bringing them back to life -they deserve and need it! On overall life expectancy, the Society of Actuaries reported in March that life expectancy had gone down on average by 6 months, Close on its heals, the Office of National Statistics reported widening inequalities in mortality for women, with women from poor areas dying years before women in rich areas.

To quote ONS: ‘The gap in life expectancy between the richest and poorest areas of England and Wales has widened during the past decade. Women living in the most deprived parts of England lived an additional half a year less than women in the most affluent parts of the country in 2015 to 2017 compared with 2012 to 2014. The corresponding figure for men was four months. Men in the most deprived areas could expect to die 9.4 years earlier than counterparts in the richest places, while for women the figure was 7.4 years. “We’ve found a large fall in life expectancy at birth among women living in the most deprived areas in England,” said Ben Humberstone, deputy director for health analysis and life events at the ONS. “This has led to a significant widening in the inequality in life expectancy at birth in England. Wales mirrored this pattern, although significant changes were not detected,” he said.’
A review of recent trends in mortality in England, acknowledged that life expectancy has levelled off, and indeed decreased for women. They point to a range of factors which are contributing to this- not a single issue, but effects of drug-related deaths, infant deaths, deaths from flu? dementia, lower respiratory disease, a rise in strokes, and cardiovascular disease no longer going down as fast as it should be. However, between 2010-12 and 2014-16, life expectancy in the more deprived areas in England increased more slowly than in the least deprived areas. In addition, female life expectancy in the most deprived decile areas has decreased since 2010-12 and inequality in life expectancy has increased. Inequality in male life expectancy has fluctuated over time but increased since 2011-13.
This analysis indicates that whatever is causing the reduction in the rate of improvement, it is affecting the most deprived areas more than the least deprived areas, and that widening health inequalities has exacerbated the slowdown in improvement. There is also some recognition that social care cuts might be a factor.
In a damning editorial in the BMJ David Taylor-Robinson and colleagues described our child health unravelling. The rise in infant deaths and the widening of inequalities between rich and poor is alarming and should be a wakeup call that not all is well in the public health world. Infant mortality is this most fundamental of public health measures and a marker for a new public health emergency. More babies dying should not happen in a rich country, but it is. Our infant death rate is now higher than Cuba’s. It cannot be attributed to worsening behaviours, or poorer treatment; the causes are upstream in the advance of child poverty and destitution and the worsening conditions and services in our poorer neighbourhoods.

Nearly 200,000 more children live in poverty now than in 2010 & more than half are aged under 5. At a population level, fewer children are likely to get the best start in life & more are at risk of poor lifelong outcomes. Other manifestations of our neglect of young people’s health can be found in the Nuffield Trust report on international comparisons of adolescent health, and a warning from Britain’s head teachers, describing schools as the unofficial emergency service for the victims of Britain’s poverty, This is a crisis & must be urgently addressed.
Between 2004–05 and 2017–18, the share of those in headline poverty that are in working households grew by 10 percentage points (from 48% to 58%), and for severe poverty it grew by 26 percentage points. In May, ONS data showed ‘an astonishing difference in the risk of avoidable death between the rich and poor.’
We are letting down the next generation. Leaving them potential victims of destitution, knife crime, modern slavery and homelessness. We owe our children more.
The politics of austerity is the politics of cruelty. On an average day in the UK, 3700 people are forced to visit a food bank, 5400 suffer domestic violence, 4750 sleep rough on the streets…There are daily stories of children being hungry in school and in school holidays. Food bank usage continues to rise.
Food charity cannot be the answer. We continue to ignore the root causes of poverty and suffering in favour of short-term charitable relief? Baby equipment banks are now springing up, catching up with food banks. Long recognised problems of fuel poverty are now joined by stories of period poverty. Universal credit changes will hit the poorest hardest. In my BMJ Editorial with Alex Bax, President of the Faculty of Homelessness and Inclusion, we described the escalating problem of homelessness and the health care crisis it is creating.
The word destitution has been brought back into use- conveying a sense of extreme and absolute poverty. 1.5 million people, including 365,000 children, were destitute in the UK at some point during 2017. They could not afford to buy the bare essentials that we all need to eat, stay warm and dry, and keep clean. There is no longer a welfare safety net- national and local government, and utilities, are the biggest creditors on the least able to pay. And people are being sent to prison for civil debt.
UN Rapporteur, Professor Phillip Alston returned to the UK in May and compared British government policies to the era of the Victorian workhouse. 14m people live in poverty despite the UK being 5th richest economy in world; 40% of children in poverty within 2 years; millions in work dependent on charities, people joining gangs to avoid destitution and a shocking rise in food banks. And, in a reprise of 17th Century philosopher Thomas Hobbes famous quote, the UK’s poorest facing “nasty, brutish, solitary, and short” lives.

What to do about it?
There is an owners club in reports on the ‘wider determinants of health’ and rightly, a clamour for health in all policies approach from our governments.
Poverty is bad for the nation’s health and also for its economic efficiency. Ten years after the Marmot report, it is completely clear that we have gone in exactly the opposite direction, in policies and in investments, that would have continued to reduce inequalities in health. Worse still, the national policies have gone completely in the opposite direction, wilfully creating more inequality. Following Acheson report recommendations in1998, health inequalities narrowed in the years to 2010, with real political will and local implementation of national policies. It is notable how much progress was made narrowing the gap between rich and poor areas on childhood mortality during the 2000s. The policies implemented were reinforced by Marmot in 2010. Early years support was a key and central recommendation of Acheson and Marmot. I attributed improvements in past pieces for FPH, to the ’Surestart Generation’ (a better name than ‘Millennials’?) There was a raft of evidence-based policies implemented from 1997: Surestart, Surestart-Plus services for teenage mothers, Surestart maternity grant, but also the minimum wage, working families tax credit, new deal for employment, Decent Homes Standard and a reduction in child poverty of half a million. And when we talk ‘millennials’- they are no longer smoking, drinking, having babies as teenagers- might that not also be a ’Surestart effect’? Ben Barr, Clare Bambra and colleagues have now provided some evidence to back up this view, and so has the Institute of Fiscal Studies, in its evaluation of Surestart programmes.
Marmot also highlighted a need for tax policies reducing inequalities in income. The poor pay more proportionately, in tax than do the rich. Reform of tax systems and the overall national and local provisions for taxation need urgent review. As major corporates and the super-rich avoid tax, the case for property, land and location taxes become more compelling. Danny Dorling’s book ‘All that is solid’ describes the nightmare of UK housing policy and some of the remedies; buried in them, fair and proportionate property tax for high value properties.
England spends less on social care per person than Scotland and Wales, and the gap has widened since 2010/11. Today, England spends £310 compared to £445 in Scotland (43% more) and £414 in Wales (33% more). For many eminent public health authorities this is a driver of inequalities in health and the observed reductions in life expectancy.

Cuts in local government budgets have fallen disproportionately on the poorest local authority areas. I share the view that we must redress the cut in social care- I would go as far as to say we should fully fund social care from taxation. We must also rebuild public health investment in local authorities in England and in all health systems. And there must be place in our comparatively wealthy country, for greater investment in an NSH – a National Service for Health.
Throughout my presidency I championed the Welsh Wellbeing of Future Generations Act. This visionary piece of legislation seeks to take political thinking beyond its usual ‘my term of office’ and ‘my back yard’ and offers Public Health Wales the chance to scrutinise all policies for their health and health inequalities impact. All health systems in every political administration need this provision.
Climate change is a health issue, and an inequalities issue, a cause and consequence of violence and conflict, and interconnected with environmental degradation, loss of biodiversity, creation of trafficking, refugees and slavery. I am pleased that FPH divested from fossil fuels investments last year. But our efforts have been given greater urgency. There has never been a greater need for public health expertise. We need to be resolved and stand together in the fight against darkness and destruction.
Written by Professor John Middleton,
Immediate Past President, United Kingdom Faculty of Public Health,
President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region (ASPHER)
Honorary Professor, University of Wolverhampton,
Visiting Professor, University of Chester.
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